Peña Deportivavs
Yeclano
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeclano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peña Deportiva 1-1 Yeclano
Original prediction
Yeclano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.6% | 34.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 28.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.5% | 37.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Yeclano
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Yeclano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00