Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pécsi MFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Pécsi MFC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MTE 1904 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pécsi MFC hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the NB II, while Pécsi MFC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pécsi MFC
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Pécsi MFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20