Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Púchov · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Púchov 5-0 MŠK Senec
Original prediction
Púchov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.4% | 54.5% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.87 | 18.5% | 24.6% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 8.12 | 11.1% | 20.9% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Púchov
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Púchov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PúchovDWWLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MŠK SenecWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PúchovMŠK Senec
75.0Attack20.0
91.7Defence46.7
83.3Form20.0
82.6Power32.5
2.30xG0.76