Púchovvs
Baník Prievidza
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - West · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Púchov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Púchov 1-1 Baník Prievidza
Original prediction
Púchov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.8% | 56.3% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 19.7% | 23.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 6.23 | 14.5% | 20.3% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Púchov
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Púchov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60