Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Příbram · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Příbram 2-3 Třinec
Original prediction
Příbram
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.3% | 51.2% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.6% | 25.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.1% | 23.3% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Příbram
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Příbram has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PříbramWLDLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TřinecLWLLW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
PříbramTřinec
60.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence40.0
56.7Form23.3
58.2Power35.2
2.49xG0.85