Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Příbram 2-1 Karviná
Original prediction
Karviná
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.0% | 31.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 25.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.8% | 43.1% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Karviná
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Karviná has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PříbramDDDWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KarvináDWWWW
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PříbramKarviná
60.0Attack73.3
53.3Defence66.7
60.0Form80.0
61.4Power73.3
1.37xG1.65