Pazarsporvs
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pazarspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pazarspor 1-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Original prediction
Pazarspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.4% | 48.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 26.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.0% | 25.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Pazarspor
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Pazarspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20