Pazarsporvs
Aliağa FAŞ
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/27/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pazarspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pazarspor 0-1 Aliağa FAŞ
Original prediction
Pazarspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.9% | 40.6% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.2% | 26.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.9% | 33.3% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Pazarspor
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Pazarspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00