Paysanduvs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paysandu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paysandu 0-0 Tacuarembo, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paysandu 2-2 Tacuarembo
Original prediction
Paysandu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.6% | 40.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 31.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.9% | 27.8% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Paysandu 0–0 Tacuarembo
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Paysandu
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Paysandu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaysanduDLWWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TacuaremboDDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PaysanduTacuarembo
37.3Attack25.3
57.3Defence61.3
37.3Form34.7
46.4Power43.2
0.94xG0.59