Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Paysandu are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rentistas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Segunda División, while Rentistas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rentistas
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
16.6%
Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40