GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paysandu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Paysandu are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Portuguesa RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Paysandu hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Paysandu holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paysandu

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

13.1%

Paysandu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PaysanduLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Portuguesa RJWLDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PaysanduPortuguesa RJ
66.7Attack33.3
41.7Defence50.0
58.3Form50.0
57.5Power47.8
1.59xG1.12
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