GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 6/14/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Paysandu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.8% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

19.8%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PaysanduWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Plaza ColoniaDLWWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PaysanduPlaza Colonia
36.8Attack43.9
54.4Defence75.4
35.1Form56.1
44.7Power59.4
0.56xG1.15
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