Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paysandu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Paysandu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Miramar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.7 against 43.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Segunda División, while Paysandu holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paysandu
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
18.1%
Paysandu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20