Uruguay · Segunda División · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paysandu 0-0 La Luz, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.6% | 37.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.5% | 31.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.9% | 30.8% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Paysandu 0–0 La Luz
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaysanduWWDLL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
La LuzLDLLD
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PaysanduLa Luz
39.1Attack26.1
56.5Defence62.3
39.1Form36.2
47.3Power43.6
0.96xG0.61