Paysanduvs
Inter De Limeira
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 9/20/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paysandu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paysandu 2-2 Inter De Limeira
Original prediction
Paysandu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.2% | 38.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 27.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 23.9% | 34.5% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Paysandu
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Paysandu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60