GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paysandu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Paysandu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Botafogo PB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Paysandu hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Serie C, while Paysandu holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paysandu

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Paysandu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PaysanduWLDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Botafogo PBLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PaysanduBotafogo PB
52.1Attack38.6
54.2Defence63.2
54.2Form40.4
55.5Power48.7
1.26xG0.95
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