Paysandu PA U20vs
Independente-AP U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paysandu PA U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paysandu PA U20 6-0 Independente-AP U20
Original prediction
Paysandu PA U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.3% | 49.5% | -21.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.1% | 23.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 8.50 | 10.5% | 26.9% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Paysandu PA U20
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Paysandu PA U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00