Paysandu PA U20vs
América RN U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paysandu PA U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paysandu PA U20 2-0 América RN U20
Original prediction
Paysandu PA U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.5% | 60.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 20.7% | 20.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 6.05 | 14.8% | 19.0% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Paysandu PA U20
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Paysandu PA U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80