Paykanvs
Shams Azar Qazvin
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paykan 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paykan 1-1 Shams Azar Qazvin
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.2% | 37.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.0% | 33.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.8% | 28.9% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.95 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Paykan 0–0 Shams Azar Qazvin
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaykanLWLDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shams Azar QazvinLLDWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PaykanShams Azar Qazvin
23.8Attack28.6
71.4Defence57.1
38.1Form23.8
46.6Power38.6
0.81xG0.56