Paykanvs
Sanat Naft
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 9/6/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paykan 0-0 Sanat Naft, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paykan 2-0 Sanat Naft
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.4% | 36.0% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 33.2% | 34.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 24.3% | 29.1% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Paykan 0–0 Sanat Naft
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaykanLDWDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sanat NaftDDLDD
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PaykanSanat Naft
20.0Attack6.7
66.7Defence73.3
33.3Form26.7
43.0Power38.3
0.68xG0.62