Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paykan 0-0 Malavan, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paykan 1-1 Malavan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.3% | 36.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.1% | 34.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.5% | 28.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.83 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Paykan 0–0 Malavan
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaykanLDLWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MalavanLDWLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PaykanMalavan
22.2Attack29.2
66.7Defence54.2
33.3Form33.3
43.1Power41.7
0.70xG0.59