Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pavia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pavia 2-2 Varesina
Original prediction
Pavia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pavia
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Pavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PaviaLLLDW
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VaresinaLWWDL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PaviaVaresina
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24