Paulistavs
Grêmio Prudente
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 9/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grêmio Prudente · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Paulista 0-0 Grêmio Prudente, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Paulista 2-3 Grêmio Prudente
Original prediction
Grêmio Prudente
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.2% | 29.2% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.1% | 30.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.7% | 40.2% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Paulista 0–0 Grêmio Prudente
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Grêmio Prudente
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Grêmio Prudente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20