GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/4/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Paulista · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Paulista are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colorado Caieiras are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Paulista hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (69.1 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Paulista holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Paulista

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Paulista has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PaulistaD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Colorado CaieirasDW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
PaulistaColorado Caieiras
65.0Attack30.0
81.7Defence70.0
66.7Form51.7
69.1Power52.2
1.31xG0.41
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