Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAU · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PAU 0-1 Nancy
Original prediction
PAU
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
PAU
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
PAU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PAUWLLLL
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
NancyLDDDD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PAUNancy
16.7Attack0.0
83.3Defence83.3
50.0Form16.7
53.0Power36.5
1.15xG0.87