Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PAU are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLLD), averaging 0.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bordeaux are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.3 against 49.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Ligue 2, while PAU holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAU
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
PAU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.25/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60