Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAU · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
PAU are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Annecy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PAU hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Ligue 2, while PAU holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAU
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
PAU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80