Pattanivs
Buriram United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buriram United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pattani 0-1 Buriram United
Original prediction
Buriram United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.19 | 10.9% | 21.8% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.99 | 17.9% | 23.2% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 71.1% | 55.0% | -16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Buriram United
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Buriram United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80