Pattanivs
BG Pathum United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BG Pathum United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pattani 0-0 BG Pathum United
Original prediction
BG Pathum United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.71 | 24.3% | 29.0% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 27.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.7% | 43.9% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
BG Pathum United
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
BG Pathum United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40