Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Patronato 0-0 Temperley, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Patronato 0-0 Temperley
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.6% | 25.6% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.7% | 34.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.6% | 40.0% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.79 · Draw 1.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Patronato 0–0 Temperley
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
40.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PatronatoDLWDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TemperleyWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PatronatoTemperley
27.4Attack39.3
64.3Defence72.6
34.5Form58.3
44.2Power58.4
0.47xG0.82