Patronatovs
San Martin S.J.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Patronato 0-0 San Martin S.J., with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Patronato 3-0 San Martin S.J.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.4% | 27.3% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.71 | 33.7% | 35.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.9% | 37.0% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Patronato 0–0 San Martin S.J.
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PatronatoDDDLW
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
San Martin S.J.WDLWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PatronatoSan Martin S.J.
26.7Attack36.7
65.6Defence70.0
34.4Form50.0
44.4Power54.5
0.51xG0.72