Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 10:02
Patronato

Patronato

Home
DL
11
Full time
Midland

Midland

Away
WD
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Patronato(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Patronato
41%
Draw
29%
Midland
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Patronato
18
Midland
34
Defence
Patronato
66
Midland
82
Momentum
Patronato
17
Midland
67
Danger (xG)
Patronato
0.45
Midland
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Patronato)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Midland)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Patronato)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Midland)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PatronatoPatronato
DLD
MidlandMidland
WDDL

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Patronato41%
Draw29%
Midland30%

Patronato leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Patronato head into this in Primera Nacional fixture in mixed form (DL), while Midland arrive in mixed form (WD). Patronato have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Midland over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Patronato (66/100) and Midland (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Patronato have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Midland have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Patronato to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Patronato 4097%, Draw 2937%, Midland 2966%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Patronato 0Draws 10 Midland
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
Patronato
D11
Midland

Recent form

Patronato

Patronato

D
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
12 Jul 2026
11
L
vs San Martin Tucuman
5 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Midland
21 Jun 2026
11
Midland

Midland

W
vs Quilmes
12 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
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11
D
@ Patronato
21 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Atlanta
13 Jun 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Patronato vs Midland?

GoalVio's model predicts Patronato to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Midland?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Patronato vs Midland?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Patronato vs Midland?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more