GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Patronato are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PatronatoWLDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeLWDDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PatronatoColon Santa Fe
26.1Attack40.3
66.7Defence73.6
34.8Form54.2
44.8Power57.1
0.43xG0.78
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