Patronatovs
Club Atlético Güemes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Patronato · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Patronato 0-0 Club Atlético Güemes, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Patronato 2-0 Club Atlético Güemes
Original prediction
Patronato
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.8% | 56.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.8% | 29.1% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 7.37 | 12.4% | 14.3% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Projected Score
Patronato 0–0 Club Atlético Güemes
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Patronato
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Patronato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00