Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Patronato are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Botafogo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Botafogo
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20