Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Patronato 0-0 Atlanta, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Patronato 2-0 Atlanta
Original prediction
Atlanta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.7% | 27.1% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.4% | 32.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.8% | 40.6% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Projected Score
Patronato 0–0 Atlanta
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Atlanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PatronatoDLDDL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AtlantaWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PatronatoAtlanta
28.0Attack41.3
61.3Defence66.7
33.3Form56.0
43.2Power56.5
0.58xG0.93