GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/26/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Patro Eisden · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Patro Eisden are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SK Beveren are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Patro Eisden hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Challenger Pro League, while Patro Eisden holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Patro Eisden

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Patro Eisden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Patro EisdenLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SK BeverenDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Patro EisdenSK Beveren
42.7Attack48.9
64.6Defence55.6
53.1Form50.0
54.5Power52.5
1.23xG0.94
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