Patro Eisdenvs
KRC Genk II
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Patro Eisden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Patro Eisden 1-0 KRC Genk II
Original prediction
Patro Eisden
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.7% | 39.9% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.2% | 22.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.2% | 37.3% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Patro Eisden
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Patro Eisden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40