GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/12/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Patro Eisden are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deinze are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deinze hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Challenger Pro League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Patro EisdenWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DeinzeWDDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Patro EisdenDeinze
42.7Attack54.9
64.6Defence59.8
53.1Form58.8
54.5Power59.1
1.09xG1.08
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