GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/13/2026, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AS Eupen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Patro Eisden 1-2 AS Eupen

Original prediction

AS Eupen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3438.8%30.9%-7.9 pts
Draw3.1928.4%26.0%-2.5 pts
Away2.7732.7%43.1%10.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

AS Eupen

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

AS Eupen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Patro EisdenLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AS EupenWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Patro EisdenAS Eupen
50.0Attack66.7
25.0Defence66.7
25.0Form66.7
36.6Power66.7
1.27xG1.92
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