GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/20/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Patriotas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Patriotas are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Real Santander are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Patriotas hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Primera B, while Patriotas holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Patriotas

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Patriotas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PatriotasLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Real SantanderLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
PatriotasReal Santander
35.3Attack25.9
60.8Defence40.7
41.2Form16.7
48.0Power31.0
1.42xG0.53
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