Patriotasvs
Barranquilla
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Patriotas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Patriotas 0-0 Barranquilla, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Patriotas 3-1 Barranquilla
Original prediction
Patriotas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.7% | 41.1% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 29.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.4% | 29.5% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Projected Score
Patriotas 0–0 Barranquilla
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Patriotas
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Patriotas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PatriotasWLWDD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BarranquillaWWLDD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PatriotasBarranquilla
36.5Attack42.0
60.3Defence58.0
44.4Form42.0
49.2Power48.6
0.99xG0.91