GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 9/3/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Panathinaikos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

PAS Giannina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 66.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Super League 1, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Panathinaikos

Probability

77.5%

Model confidence

77.5%

Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PAS GianninaDWLDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PanathinaikosLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PAS GianninaPanathinaikos
33.3Attack74.1
37.4Defence64.8
23.2Form64.8
34.0Power66.4
0.68xG2.80
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