GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Regar-TadAZ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Parvoz are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Regar-TadAZ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Regar-TadAZ hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.7% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Regar-TadAZ holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Regar-TadAZ

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

20.7%

Regar-TadAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ParvozLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Regar-TadAZLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ParvozRegar-TadAZ
30.8Attack44.4
46.2Defence80.6
30.8Form75.0
38.6Power69.4
0.46xG1.44
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