Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravshan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Parvoz are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Ravshan are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ravshan hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Ravshan holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ravshan
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
16.6%
Ravshan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.50/2.25
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00