Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khatlon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Parvoz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Khatlon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khatlon hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khatlon holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khatlon
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
13.6%
Khatlon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60