Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parvoz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Parvoz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eskhata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.6 against 39.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Parvoz holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Parvoz
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
13.8%
Parvoz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40