GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Partizani · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Partizani 0-2 Skenderbeu Korce

Original prediction

Partizani

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2340.3%36.5%-3.8 pts
Draw3.3227.2%27.5%0.3 pts
Away2.7732.5%36.0%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Partizani

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Partizani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PartizaniLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Skenderbeu KorceWLWDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PartizaniSkenderbeu Korce
42.9Attack27.8
19.0Defence55.6
19.0Form27.8
30.6Power40.0
1.21xG1.26
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