Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Partizani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Partizani 0-0 Laci, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Partizani 1-2 Laci
Original prediction
Partizani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.9% | 44.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.1% | 32.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.0% | 23.1% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Projected Score
Partizani 0–0 Laci
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Partizani
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Partizani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PartizaniDWLWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LaciDLWWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PartizaniLaci
45.6Attack36.0
73.7Defence71.2
57.9Form44.1
60.4Power51.8
0.87xG0.51