GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/18/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Partizani are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Partizani hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Superliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PartizaniDWDLW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Egnatia RrogozhinëWWLLD

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PartizaniEgnatia Rrogozhinë
45.6Attack45.6
73.7Defence66.7
57.9Form58.8
60.4Power58.3
0.98xG0.66
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